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Abraham, D M (1990) A state-based framework using indicators for construction monitoring and evaluation, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Ahrari, A (2012) A decision support system for dynamic integrated project scheduling and equipment operation planning, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Akar, G (2009) Analysis of activity choice: The role of activity attributes and individual schedules, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Al-Fadhala, M M (2002) Uncertainty-based condition assessment of existing concrete structures, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Al-Wazeer, A A-R (2007) Risk-based bridge maintenance strategies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Avetisyan, H G (2013) Sustainable infrastructure modeling and policy analyses: Construction, energy and transportation industries, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Bai, L (2013) RFID sensor-driven structural condition monitoring in integrated building information modeling environment, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Bender, W J (2000) A risk-based cost control methodology for constructing complex structures with the mobile offshore base as a case study, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Chelson, D E (2010) The effects of building information modeling on construction site productivity, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Chen, C-H (2003) Integrated management of highway maintenance and traffic, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Cheung, M (2017) The antecedents of safety leadership, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Chung, B (2007) An analysis of success and failure factors for ERP systems in engineering and construction firms, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Ding, Q (2018) Using social media to evaluate public acceptance of infrastructure projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Eldukair, Z A R (1988) Safety assessment and optimization of construction operations based on fuzzy sets, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Erfani, A (2023) Data-driven risk modeling for infrastructure projects using artificial intelligence techniques, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Hao, J X (2007) Infrastructure investment and economic development, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Hickey, P J (2023) A study of gender diversity in u.S. Architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC) industry leadership, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Hsu, S-C (2013) A complexity-based approach to intra-organizational team selection, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Hu, M (2022) Influence of project design team characteristics on construction cost of sustainable buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Ingraham, A T (2001) Bidder-auctioneer cheating in sealed-bid auctions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Jang, W S (2007) Embedded system for construction material tracking using combination of radio frequency and ultrasound signal, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Karimi, S (2021) A systematic methodology for evaluating and balancing acceptance risks with pay factors for highway construction materials, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Lessani, A (2016) Decision analysis in construction claims, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Lu, R (2010) Impacts of local item dependence of testlet items with the multistage tests for pass-fail decisions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
McCahill, D F (1990) A practical model for simulation of earthwork construction, with applications for scheduling, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Mohieldin, Y A (1989) Analysis of construction processes with nonstationary work task durations, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Moore, W B (1989) Modeling the impact of large construction projects on surrounding communities, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Neely, L E (2017) Project scheduling disputes: Expert characterization and estimate aggregation, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Negahban, S (2008) Utilization of enterprise resource planning tools by small to medium size construction organizations: A decision-making model, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Nyakaana Blair, A M A (1999) Risk analysis of cost and schedule of complex engineering systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
- Type: Thesis
- Keywords: fuzzy set; uncertainty; risk analysis; decision analysis; risk analysis; simulation
- ISBN/ISSN:
- URL: https://www.proquest.com/docview/304514124
- Abstract:
Risk is inherent in engineering systems. A kernel element of risk that requires adequate treatment is uncertainty represented by plural outcomes and associated future likelihoods. This research examines treatment of uncertainty and provides methodologies for risk analysis of cost and schedule of complex engineering systems. The uncertainty intrinsic in a system influences requisite risk analysis methodology. Probabilistic, ambiguous, or aleatory uncertainty entails stochastic methods. Cognitive, vague, or epistemic uncertainty requires fuzzy sets and logic. Simulation overcomes difficulty, or known intractability, associated with mathematical formulation of analytical models of complex engineering systems. Methodology for fuzzy stochastic risk analysis by simulation of cost and schedule networks is provided. Engineering decisions involving risk require decision models with systematic frameworks to consider pertinent facets of decision problems. Methodology covering continuous, discrete, static, and dynamic aspects of problems for risk-based decision analysis is provided. Classical decision analysis assumes probabilities associated with consequences are known numerically. With complex engineering systems, available probabilities can be unreliable, incomplete, or imprecise and be known as fuzzy rather than crisp numbers. Methodology for the use of fuzzy probabilities in decision analysis is given. A systematic framework consisting of influence diagrams and decision trees is used to incorporate distributions associated with discrete or continuous probabilities and consequences. Dynamic decision models are given that change over time by the updating of variables as additional information is acquired. Fuzzy-Bayesian methodology is presented for updating the state-of-knowledge of cost and schedule information as it is piecewise accumulated and for determination of the value of additional information before acquisition. This research provides a generalized methodology for risk analysis of cost and schedule of complex engineering systems. Methodology includes simulation of deterministic, stochastic, fuzzy, and fuzzy stochastic activities in networks with nodes combining AND, IOR, or EOR entrances and deterministic or stochastic exits. Methodology is given for risk-based decision analysis covering continuous, discrete, static, and dynamic aspects of a decision problem, and using fuzzy-Bayesian methods for updating information and determining the value of information. Methodology provided is general, covering all kinds of uncertainty, and is validated by examples and selected case studies.
Ordonez Arizaga, J F (2007) A methodology for project risk analysis using Bayesian belief networks within a Monte Carlo simulation environment, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Owoyemi, J A (2018) Performance evaluation of higway transportation design-build project delivery: A case study, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Parvan, K (2012) Estimating the impact of building information modeling (BIM) utilization on building project performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Quadri, H A (2019) Value engineering decisioneering: A risk management tool in the project management office- case study of electricity distribution companies in Nigeria, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Salgado, C A (2005) Construction project organizational structuring, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Shafahi, A (2016) Mathematical model and framework for multi-phase project optimization, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Sharma, D K (2012) Design of availabilty payment mechanism for public private partnerships, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Sundararajan, S K (2004) Project performance-based optimal capital structure for privately financed infrastructure projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Tatari, M O (2009) Empirical analysis of construction enterprise information systems: Assessing the critical factors and benefits, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Vecino, G A (2016) The feasibility of using web-based technology for the management of dredging projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Yang, N (2010) Optimization of highway work zone decisions considering short-term and long-term impacts, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Zeng, Y (2010) Risk management for enterprise resource planning system implementations in project-based firms, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.
Zhao, Y (2023) Sustainability, acceptance risk analysis and machine learning in assessing mechanical properties and the impact of highway materials in transportation infrastructure, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Maryland, College Park.